Header für die Leistung "Klimarisikoanalyse"

Sustainability strategy

Climate risk analysis
– Identify risks, develop adaptations

Climate change is one of the greatest risks facing the economy and businesses. In Germany alone, climate-related damage has cost around 145 billion euros since the turn of the century—and the trend is upward. A climate risk analysis helps you systematically understand and assess the impacts on locations, processes, and value chains. Based on the international standard ISO 14091 and taking into account relevant requirements (e.g., CSRD, EU Taxonomy, TCFD), we support you in identifying risks early on, prioritizing them, and developing targeted adaptation strategies.

Your advantages of a
Climate risk analysis

  1. Identify financial risks early: Early analysis can help prevent production downtime, loss of value, and rising insurance premiums. Prevention is significantly more cost-effective than remedying damage later and protects liquidity, delivery capacity, and margins.
  2. Strengthen corporate value and investment capacity: A clear risk profile improves predictability and reduces uncertainty—an advantage for financing, grants, and investors. In light of new requirements in the financial sector (Basel IV – CRR III – CRD VI) as well as political priorities such as the EU Clean Energy Investment Strategy (2026), structured climate risk management is becoming increasingly critical.
  3. Ensure compliance with regulatory requirements: Climate risk analysis is a central component of the EU Taxonomy, TCFD, and CSRD. Our analysis helps you implement all relevant requirements efficiently, transparently, and in a manner that stands up to scrutiny.

The process of a
climate risk analysis

Step 1

Setup and context analysis

Once we have clarified your expectations and objectives, you will receive an introduction to climate risk analysis, and we will define the project plan and a kind of roadmap. In the context analysis workshop, we will analyze your business activities and value chain. In doing so, we will determine which of your activities are particularly vulnerable to risk in terms of geography and production.

Step 2

Identification of current and potential climate risks and opportunities

In the second step, we identify actual and potential risks, relating to physical and transitional risks in each case.

Step 3

Risk matrix and scenario analysis

We assess your risks using our risk matrix. These are evaluated taking into account various climate scenarios.

Step 4

Resilience analysis

Finally, we present the results of the analysis and, if necessary, classify them into further products as requested by you. We also discuss possible priorities for an optional resilience analysis and the definition of measures to adapt and improve the resilience of your company.

Your options for conducting a climate risk analysis

Site Scenario Analysis

A customized analysis of a specific location, including topographical features, flood and heavy rainfall conditions, and local risk indicators.

Climate risk analysis including resilience analysis:

In-depth site analysis, including an assessment of existing resilience measures. Result: A prioritized list of climate adaptation measures.

Supply Chain Resilience Analysis

In addition to the location analysis, supply chains and suppliers can be evaluated—either based on specific locations or through structured questionnaires if this information is not disclosed.

Frequently asked questions,
that we answer

  • Assessment of exposure, sensitivity, and vulnerability of relevant locations
  • Analysis and prioritization of physical climate hazards (e.g., heat, heavy rain, flooding, storms)
  • Identification of climate risks and clear presentation of findings in a report

Climate risk analysis distinguishes between physical risks, which include both acute (e.g., extreme weather events) and chronic (e.g., temperature increases or water shortages) impacts, and transition risks, which relate to regulatory, technological, and market risks. Acute physical risks directly affect operations, while chronic risks require long-term adjustments. Transition risks result from changes in regulations, technologies, and consumption habits that can pose challenges and offer new opportunities for companies.

RCP scenarios (representative concentration pathways) are climate scenarios presented in the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). They are intended to project future climate change based on different greenhouse gas emission pathways. The RCPs range from a low emission pathway (RCP 2.6), which is associated with a target of limiting global warming to below 2°C, to a very high emission pathway (RCP 8.5), which leads to significant climate change.

Die Szenarien werden in der Klimaforschung verwendet, um die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels unter verschiedenen Annahmen zu modellieren und Handlungsspielräume für Anpassungsstrategien zu analysieren.

SSPs are socioeconomic scenarios that describe possible future developments in society, the economy, and politics. These scenarios are based on assumptions about how societies, technologies, markets, and policies could develop and influence climate change. There are five SSPs, ranging from a scenario with sustainable development (SSP1) to a scenario with unregulated economic growth and high CO2 emissions (SSP5).

In practice, RCPs are used to model direct climate impacts (physical risks), while SSPs are used to understand socioeconomic conditions and the influence of human activities on climate change.

Bild des Beratungsteams von Fokus Zukunft bei einem Strategieworkshop.

Enquire now for a
climate risk analysis

Do you have any questions about this service or would you like to discuss your project with us? Write to us – we look forward to exchanging ideas with you!